2017年全球经济状况调研 （按季度发布）

这项全球经济形势调查（GECS）由ACCA和IMA联合进行，在调查的人数与经济变量的范围方面是全球最大的会计师常规经济调查。调查主要的指数能够较准确地预测OECD国家的GDP增长，并且每日趋势偏差值与衡量预期股价波动性的VIX或“恐惧”指数相关性良好。

报告显示，2017年第一季度的经济信心反弹，达到自2015年第二季度以来的最高水平。指数反弹主要是由美国的财政改革和放松管制推动的，投资者因此对经济增长持有信心。

Carried out jointly by ACCA and IMA, GECS is the largest regular economic survey of accountants in the world, in terms of both the number of respondents and the range of economic variables it monitors. Its main indices are good predictors of GDP growth in the OECD countries and daily trend deviations correlate well with the VIX or ‘fear’ index, which measures expected stock price volatility.

2017Q1：Our joint global survey with IMA shows that economic confidence is at its highest since 2015, driven mainly by the US where investors are hopeful that a combination of fiscal reform and deregulation will provide a boost to economic growth.

报告编号：17Q1

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